Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.108159 0.128205 0.150641 0.177568 0.208967 0.244379 0.287304
2025-01-26 0.078866 0.105178 0.137939 0.181542 0.237848 0.307882 0.401348
2025-02-02 0.061262 0.089749 0.128341 0.184029 0.261841 0.366133 0.515824
2025-02-09 0.049190 0.078019 0.119941 0.184648 0.281131 0.418586 0.627850
2025-02-16 0.041101 0.069885 0.114407 0.187242 0.302069 0.474372 0.750083
2025-02-23 0.035966 0.065066 0.112608 0.194473 0.329980 0.542693 0.898028
2025-03-02 0.029609 0.056871 0.103817 0.188715 0.335895 0.576975 0.996296
2025-03-09 0.025497 0.051744 0.099171 0.188844 0.350943 0.626811 1.124298
2025-03-16 0.021754 0.046549 0.093465 0.186018 0.360082 0.667188 1.240113
2025-03-23 0.019554 0.043920 0.092003 0.190579 0.382719 0.732870 1.406218
2025-03-30 0.017019 0.040116 0.087635 0.188830 0.393125 0.777407 1.538569
2025-04-06 0.014607 0.036112 0.082207 0.184091 0.396937 0.809794 1.651265
2025-04-13 0.012432 0.032273 0.076616 0.178400 0.398518 0.838877 1.762487
2025-04-20 0.011304 0.030680 0.075661 0.182494 0.420838 0.911051 1.965887
2025-04-27 0.010208 0.028949 0.074110 0.185017 0.440065 0.978932 2.167542
2025-05-04 0.009138 0.027066 0.071889 0.185645 0.455129 1.039632 2.360349
2025-05-11 0.008310 0.025663 0.070598 0.188253 0.474917 1.112247 2.585322
2025-05-18 0.007805 0.025052 0.071191 0.195522 0.506362 1.213260 2.881246
2025-05-25 0.006766 0.022684 0.066845 0.189734 0.505918 1.243241 3.023258
2025-06-01 0.006104 0.021301 0.064903 0.189864 0.519918 1.307372 3.248288
2025-06-08 0.005411 0.019674 0.062011 0.187023 0.526056 1.353725 3.436667
2025-06-15 0.005048 0.019037 0.061840 0.191608 0.551853 1.449264 3.749384
2025-06-22 0.004525 0.017748 0.059537 0.189849 0.560678 1.504433 3.970470